In psychology, there is the term “Information Bias” which is the tendency to seek information when it doesn’t affect our actions. Nevertheless, more information isn’t always better. The instinctual shortcut that we take when we have “too much information” is to…
“Imagine you pick 1 million random people from around the world every day,” said Toby McDade, chief investment officer of Momentum Fee Capital Management. “Some days, 51% would be in a good mood, 49% in a bad mood. The next…
I blogged about our deficits in predicting the future the other day and mentioned not only our tendency to compare the present to the past, but also how we tend to get history wrong—by neglecting the impact that accidents and chance had on them. Isn’t our place in history today…
Here is a bit of philosophy to assist in rapidly finding someone (else) to blame : “Huey, Dewey and Louie. You stand accused of a grievous crime. What do you have to say for yourselves?” “Yes, I did it,” said Huey. “But it…
“A day without sunshine is like, you know, night.” — Steve Martin I personally prefer sunshine (though perhaps with less heat here in Singapore), because, since early August this year, we are the proud owners of a Solar or Photovoltaic (PV) System at our…
This bias might be at the root of all the other biases that very active traders “enjoy”. Yet, being right has very little to do with making money! The evidence is overwhelming that the more we trade, the worse we would do. That’s because most…
Have you ever asked yourself this: How can I control myself when I feel the irresistible need to break my rules about how to invest in the stock market? That question pertains to the “hot-cold-empathy gap”, where we say to ourselves in a calm…
Yes, that’s right, you have read the header correctly. Because if you know something, you can’t appreciate what it’s like not to know it. And this is when better-informed people encounter problems thinking about problems from the perspective of their less-informed…
You can? That’s great! Because I would like to share what I recently read about “time pressure” and why it seems to be on the rise in these modern times. Initially, I thought that I knew the answer; the pace of life…
This is the tendency to fail to incorporate prior known probabilities which are pertinent to the decision at hand. Caution: Don’t read on if you are 40 years of age and above! Here’s an interesting question for the rest of you: Why aren’t more young people…