Tag: Asset Bubbles
Economic Forecast Illusion or why “Economist” is one of the worst professions one could choose – Long Version
Normalcy Bias and a bit of Impact Bias
The Origin of Financial Crises by George Cooper (October 2008) – Executive Summary & Key Messages
Two main subjects: Why markets for goods and services tend toward equilibrium, but financial markets do not. Why central banks are useful and what they should do (which they currently don’t). Breaking the 170 page book into nine chapters, Cooper…
Full of Bull – Stephen T. McClellan (2010) – Executive Summary & Key Messages
Wall Street Analysts are bad at stock picking: Analysis of all sell and buy recommendations in 2003 showed that the portfolio with negatively viewed stocks gained 53.5% (over two years), more than 75 percentage points better than the market. Investing, contrary…
Bandwagon Bias
Economic Forecast Illusion or why “Economist” is one of the worst professions one could choose – Long Version
Normalcy Bias and a bit of Impact Bias
The Origin of Financial Crises by George Cooper (October 2008) – Executive Summary & Key Messages
Two main subjects: Why markets for goods and services tend toward equilibrium, but financial markets do not. Why central banks are useful and what they should do (which they currently don’t). Breaking the 170 page book into nine chapters, Cooper…
Full of Bull – Stephen T. McClellan (2010) – Executive Summary & Key Messages
Wall Street Analysts are bad at stock picking: Analysis of all sell and buy recommendations in 2003 showed that the portfolio with negatively viewed stocks gained 53.5% (over two years), more than 75 percentage points better than the market. Investing, contrary…