You got promoted
Hello, my dear reader, today I feel very powerful. So I have decided to promote you to the position of CEO. Congratulations. You are a real CEO now. Not later! Now! What do I mean by that? In this information age,…
Tag: belief
Time for some Optimism
You and I we tend to be optimistic about the future. That is not a bad thing in general. However, this optimism might easily develop into “wishful thinking”. Too much “wishful thinking” will be harmful to you and your money. You might be awful…
Herd Behavior or Herding or Lazy Thinking
Mostly, our herd conformity is a good thing and it’s one of the reasons that societies are able to function (legal system, driving, etc). Nevertheless, watch out for what you step into when you follow the herd. Herd behavior occurs when investors follow the…
The benefits of being a wee bit sceptical in believing others
I am convinced that my brain does a poor job of separating truth from fiction. This leads to many false beliefs. Therefore, I want to make at least a minimal effort to understand my brain better and be on guard…
Mere-exposure effect
The time has come again. It’s that time of the year when families gather for reunion dinners, when extended families from far-flung corners of Singapore meet in one central place for the annual “oh-how-have-you-been – when-are-you-getting-married – have-you-gained-some-weight – conversations”.…
Economic Forecast Illusion or why “Economist” is one of the worst professions one could choose – Long Version
In my last post I mused over Forecasts and those guys who come up with them. In my little research I came across so many noteworthy facts and statements on that subject that I decided to collate them in a…
100 Biases and Bias Bias
einhundert – 100 – one hundred The other day I have shared with you this gigantic Cognitive Bias Codex. It contains 189 different biases. So far I have written about 100 biases that make you do dumb things with your…
Familiarity Bias vs. Ambiguity Effect
Or otherwise known as reliance on old-fashioned financial institutions and outdated economic structures. Partly, it is due to habit; partly, because of our concerns about liquidity; and partly, because we think that it is always risky to experiment with new things where we might lack…
Are you investing/trading like a scientist or like a lawyer?
Before you read on, take a minute and think about this question for a while. Look back at your recent transactions. How did you arrive at those decisions? Are you happy with your past decisions? Any regrets? C’mon. If you’ve…
Can there be infinite growth in a finite world?
Recently I spotted this ad in a German newspaper (I took the liberty to translate the few German words): It reminded me of my Water-ETF which I bought about one year ago. So I checked it out: 13.4% up. Ok,…
Time for some Optimism
You and I we tend to be optimistic about the future. That is not a bad thing in general. However, this optimism might easily develop into “wishful thinking”. Too much “wishful thinking” will be harmful to you and your money. You might be awful…
Herd Behavior or Herding or Lazy Thinking
Mostly, our herd conformity is a good thing and it’s one of the reasons that societies are able to function (legal system, driving, etc). Nevertheless, watch out for what you step into when you follow the herd. Herd behavior occurs when investors follow the…
The benefits of being a wee bit sceptical in believing others
I am convinced that my brain does a poor job of separating truth from fiction. This leads to many false beliefs. Therefore, I want to make at least a minimal effort to understand my brain better and be on guard…
Mere-exposure effect
The time has come again. It’s that time of the year when families gather for reunion dinners, when extended families from far-flung corners of Singapore meet in one central place for the annual “oh-how-have-you-been – when-are-you-getting-married – have-you-gained-some-weight – conversations”.…
Economic Forecast Illusion or why “Economist” is one of the worst professions one could choose – Long Version
In my last post I mused over Forecasts and those guys who come up with them. In my little research I came across so many noteworthy facts and statements on that subject that I decided to collate them in a…
100 Biases and Bias Bias
einhundert – 100 – one hundred The other day I have shared with you this gigantic Cognitive Bias Codex. It contains 189 different biases. So far I have written about 100 biases that make you do dumb things with your…
Familiarity Bias vs. Ambiguity Effect
Or otherwise known as reliance on old-fashioned financial institutions and outdated economic structures. Partly, it is due to habit; partly, because of our concerns about liquidity; and partly, because we think that it is always risky to experiment with new things where we might lack…
Are you investing/trading like a scientist or like a lawyer?
Before you read on, take a minute and think about this question for a while. Look back at your recent transactions. How did you arrive at those decisions? Are you happy with your past decisions? Any regrets? C’mon. If you’ve…
Can there be infinite growth in a finite world?
Recently I spotted this ad in a German newspaper (I took the liberty to translate the few German words): It reminded me of my Water-ETF which I bought about one year ago. So I checked it out: 13.4% up. Ok,…