How I learned to mind my own business
Some of my loyal readers – ok, make that two – asked me at what age I started to mind my own business and to actively take care of my own business. Here is how it all started: Well, that’s…
Tag: Prosper Slowly
Why ETFs are a good tool to slaughter some of our biases
Being biased brings with it that we don’t think like we think we think. We make illogical decisions. Passive index fund investing via a Regular Savings Plan or Dollar-Cost-Averaging is logically right, right? But emotionally and in terms of common…
Let’s regress to the mean together
…but before we do that, allow me to elaborate a bit on it. Regression to the Mean (RTM) is the tendency for trends to flip with the passage of time; it’s nature’s way of levelling the playing field. Most things on Earth revert to…
The single largest risk to investors in today’s markets
…is themselves. That’s right, the single largest risk to investors is themselves. By that, I, of course, mean the influence of human emotion and psychology in decision making. It seems quite clear to me that humans are uniquely wired incorrectly for long-term…
New year, new start, same old, but still the most accurate stock market forecast for 2016
At the beginning of each year, there’re many pundits, experts, self-proclaimed gurus, and other suspicious characters who’d like to sell you stuff predicting the directions of the Stock Markets. As I personally have ample years of experience in the Stock Markets…
Diversify, diversify, and then diversify some more
Could we both agree on the following notion? That, in the investment field, there is no one instrument that can perform all the time, and that there is no one who can say with certainty—in advance—which instrument would perform best. The future is uncertain and markets are random. As such, what Harry Markowitz…
A bit more of mental accounting
Recently there has been a lively discussion among the Singapore Financial Blogger Scene about ‘Net Worth’ and how it should/could/may be computed (here, here, and here). This showed me how imperfect and susceptible to bias we all are. We are…
Another competitive edge of introverts
Do you know what is the central element of good decision-making? It is actually one’s ability to manage delay. Yes, our ability to think about delay is a central part of the human condition and it’s a gift, a tool that we can—and should—use to examine…
Hot-cold-empathy gap
Have you ever asked yourself this: How can I control myself when I feel the irresistible need to break my rules about how to invest in the stock market? That question pertains to the “hot-cold-empathy gap”, where we say to ourselves in a calm…
Neglect of prior base rates effect
This is the tendency to fail to incorporate prior known probabilities which are pertinent to the decision at hand. Caution: Don’t read on if you are 40 years of age and above! Here’s an interesting question for the rest of you: Why aren’t more young people…
Why ETFs are a good tool to slaughter some of our biases
Being biased brings with it that we don’t think like we think we think. We make illogical decisions. Passive index fund investing via a Regular Savings Plan or Dollar-Cost-Averaging is logically right, right? But emotionally and in terms of common…
Let’s regress to the mean together
…but before we do that, allow me to elaborate a bit on it. Regression to the Mean (RTM) is the tendency for trends to flip with the passage of time; it’s nature’s way of levelling the playing field. Most things on Earth revert to…
The single largest risk to investors in today’s markets
…is themselves. That’s right, the single largest risk to investors is themselves. By that, I, of course, mean the influence of human emotion and psychology in decision making. It seems quite clear to me that humans are uniquely wired incorrectly for long-term…
New year, new start, same old, but still the most accurate stock market forecast for 2016
At the beginning of each year, there’re many pundits, experts, self-proclaimed gurus, and other suspicious characters who’d like to sell you stuff predicting the directions of the Stock Markets. As I personally have ample years of experience in the Stock Markets…
Diversify, diversify, and then diversify some more
Could we both agree on the following notion? That, in the investment field, there is no one instrument that can perform all the time, and that there is no one who can say with certainty—in advance—which instrument would perform best. The future is uncertain and markets are random. As such, what Harry Markowitz…
A bit more of mental accounting
Recently there has been a lively discussion among the Singapore Financial Blogger Scene about ‘Net Worth’ and how it should/could/may be computed (here, here, and here). This showed me how imperfect and susceptible to bias we all are. We are…
Another competitive edge of introverts
Do you know what is the central element of good decision-making? It is actually one’s ability to manage delay. Yes, our ability to think about delay is a central part of the human condition and it’s a gift, a tool that we can—and should—use to examine…
Hot-cold-empathy gap
Have you ever asked yourself this: How can I control myself when I feel the irresistible need to break my rules about how to invest in the stock market? That question pertains to the “hot-cold-empathy gap”, where we say to ourselves in a calm…
Neglect of prior base rates effect
This is the tendency to fail to incorporate prior known probabilities which are pertinent to the decision at hand. Caution: Don’t read on if you are 40 years of age and above! Here’s an interesting question for the rest of you: Why aren’t more young people…